Commanders’ Weather Corporation
Sunday, 08.13.2006

Route: Salvador, Brazil to Cape Town, SA

Departed: approx. 1200utc, Tuesday, August 1, 2006

Position: 31° 43 S, 21° 12 W at 1600utc Friday, August 11, 2006

Prepared: 1645utc Saturday August 12, 2006

Summary

• Gale center (984 mb) now well to your SE near 45s 01e and moving rapidly eastward
• Satellite images indicate that the cold front from this low is well toyour E and NE with only lingering lower level cloud and scattered showers
• High pressure center near 35s 29w is moving ESE
• Should be near 37s 14w at 12utc Sun
• Should be far to your ESE by 12utc Mon
• SSW winds 20-30 kts should gradually back and diminish during the next24 hours as the high center moves by not far to your south tomorrow
• Another large low tracking eastward south of 50s will push a cold front to near 45s 09w to 40s 15w to 35s 28w by 12 utc Mon
• Winds will continue to back to NW Mon and increase to 20-28 kts by Mon evening
• Cold front loses northward push and is expected to stall just to your S
• Tue on a line near 35s 02w to 33 30s 10w to 32 30s 15w
• Winds north of the front will back to more W and diminish to 15-20 kts by evening
• On Wed you should be on the S side of high pressure centered near 29s 8w and elongated east-west
• Winds will be rather light between the high and the stalled and weakening frontal zone near 33s
• Next cold front remains well to the SW and will likely not affect you with increasing WNW/NW winds before later Thu and Fri
• Intense storms tracking by to the south are generating large sea which will be increasing over you tonight and tomorrow, likely peaking near 20 feet early Mon.
• Largest sea should propagate past you later Mon with slowly subsidingconditions, becoming a longer period
• 10-14 ft WSW swell Tue and Wed

Routing

1) Am assuming based on yesterday’s position that you may be holding about 31 30s

2) Further north will give you a little less wind and should make a significant difference in peak sea also

3) Conditions shown below assume holding 31 30s, but would recommend closer to 29-30s tomorrow and early Mon if convenient as this will reduce sea a little

4) By Tue/Wed you may want to be closer to 31-32s again to stay further away from center of high and remain in W wind, but suggest you not go below 32s as wind and sea will be stronger S late in week

5) Please see waypoints listed in the wind forecast below

Wind Forecast

Wind directions are TRUE, wind speeds in KTS, and time is UTC

Sat., Aug 12

18: 300-320/8-15

Weather: Fair to partly cloudy

Seas decreasing to 3-5 ft WSW swell

Sun., Aug 13

00: 160-180/18-26

06: 130-150/12-18

12: 110-130/10-16 near 31 30s/14 30w

18: 090-1

10/ 8-14

Weather: Variable cloud, chance shower early, then partly cloudy

Seas building to 16-20 ft SW swell but with decreasing wind wave chop

Mon, Aug 14

00: 040-060/12-18

06: 350-010/14-20

12: 330-350/16-24 near 31 30s/11w

18: 310-330/18-26

Weather: Partly cloudy

Seas 16-20 ft SW swell early, subsiding to 13-16 ft by evening. Increasing wind wave chop

Tue, Aug 15

00: 300-320/22-32

12: 280-300/15-25 near 31 45s 07w

Weather: Variable clouds, few showers developing

Seas 10-14 ft WSW swell, quite rough with wind wave chop

Wed, Aug 16

00: 260-280/12-20

12: 280-310/10-18

Weather: Variable clouds, scattered showers

Seas 10-14 ft WSW swell

Lunch €” Sunday 08.13.06

Lunch was a ….Mahi Mahi fish soup, done Chinese style with rice and ginger. Lieve used just a bit of the famous Susie’s Hot Sauce from Antigua, which was enough to light all our fires.

Location: 31° 15.6 S, 13° 12.5 W
Sunday 12:00, 08.13.2006

The Schooner Maggie B was at 31° 15.6 S, 13° 12.5 W at noon on August 13th. We did 202 NM in the last 24 hours. We have gone 2078 miles since Salvador and Cape Town is now 1627 miles away. Tristan da Cunha is just 350 miles South of us.

The wind is backing around as forecast. Currently it is 120 degrees at 12-15. We have shaken out our reefs and are under all plain sail. The barometer is way up to 1030 as the next high (Hector) forms just South of us. We should have easy sailing for the next three or four days with the wind backing to Northwest and steady at 15-20. The next big wave of pressure should catch up to us on the 17th or 18th.

As Commanders say, we are seeing a bit of a “large sea” (up to 20 feet), generated by the storms to the South of us. While the waves sound big, they really are not a concern as they have a rather long set, and rarely combine with the other series to peak up. Occasionally the Maggie B will be perched like a skier just at the top of a Black Diamond run, looking rather far down, but then the wave passes smoothly on its way to Africa, perhaps just leaving a little splash of water for the face of the duty watch.

We have flocks and flocks of sea birds around us, petrels and shearwaters, probably all nesting on Triastan da Cunha.

All is well.